The State Bank of Pakistan (SBP) will hold its third monetary policy meeting of 2026 on April 27, in which the possibility of raising interest rates is being expressed.
According to a recent report by a private financial institution, about 53% of market experts believe that the central bank will increase interest rates. Most of them say that the increase could be between 50 and 100 basis points, while some experts are also predicting a slight increase.
On the other hand, about 47% of experts believe that there will be no change in interest rates, while a very small number of people expect a decrease.
Market indicators also indicate that the possible increase will be limited. Six-month Treasury bills and KIBOR rates are trading above the current policy rate of 10.5 percent, indicating that investors are pricing in a modest hike.
According to experts, rising global oil prices and regional tensions could lead to rising inflation, prompting a rate hike.

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